Predictions

Back when this was a 20 person race, my best guess was Romney vs. Edwards in the showdown. Not so much. Edwards never showed up and Romney was essentially #2 on the R side.

Fred Thompson, good prediction, I knew from jump he was a phony candidate.
Rudy G., good prediction, never figured out his appeal and was able to guess his exit from the race at the time he was picked to win Florida.

Mike Huckabee, not so good. After really nailing Fred and Rudy, I went out on a limb guessing his exit. Didn't happen, but he's as good as done, McCain's got it wrapped.

Only thing left to guess of any interest is Obama v. Hillary, and I've got no clue on that side of the race. You'd think the Dems' would have to be straight up nuts to nominate Hillary, but she wins CA by 10 points and is favored to win in TX and OH and PA.

Boo-yah. I nailed when Thompson and Rudy would exit the race, so now 2-0 I'm feeling good enough to try to nail when Huckabee gets out of the race.

I think Huckabee exits the race between 8pm Feb 5 and Feb 11. He does ok in a couple of southern states on Feb 5. He has a tiny chance of winning in Georgia and Alabama, but I think he comes in second in both, and drops out shortly after the Super Tuesday results.

Although there is a chance he holds on for the Kansas election on Feb 9th, but he's is gone by the time the Virginia race on Feb 12. He'll be hopelessly behind in the delegate count as of Feb 6th, so if I was a tad bolder. I'd peg his exit between Feb 5 and Feb 7.